Cilt 12 Sayı 2 (2024): Business & Management Studies: An International Journal
Makaleler

Türkiye’de ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin incelenmesi: Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger nedensellik testi

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  • Ömer Fazıl Emek
Ömer Fazıl Emek
Doç. Dr., Mardin Artuklu Üniversitesi, Mardin, Türkiye
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15295/bmij.v12i2.2385

Yayınlanmış 2024-06-25

Anahtar Kelimeler

  • Ekonomik Büyüme, İhracat, İhracata Dayalı Büyüme Stratejisi, Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger Nedensellik Testi
  • Economic Growth, Export, Export-Led Growth Strategy, Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger Causality Test

Nasıl Atıf Yapılır

Emek, Ömer F. (2024). Türkiye’de ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin incelenmesi: Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger nedensellik testi. Business & Management Studies: An International Journal, 12(2), 287–296. https://doi.org/10.15295/bmij.v12i2.2385

Telif Hakkı (c) 2024 Ömer Fazıl Emek

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Özet

Çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'de 2016:1 ile 2023:12 dönemleri arası ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensel ilişkiyi ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezinin geçerliliği bağlamında incelemektir. Aylık verilerden derlenen toplam ihracat ile sanayi üretim endeksinden oluşan değişkenlerle Nazlıoğlu, Gormus ve Soytas (2016) tarafından geliştirilen Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger Nedensellik Testi uygulanmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, her iki değişkenin de birbirlerinin nedeni olduğu yani aralarında çift yönlü bir nedenselliğin varlığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu bulgu, Türkiye'de belirtilen dönemlerde ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezinin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir. Konu hakkında yapılan diğer çalışmalar karşılaştırıldığında bu çalışmanın bulgusu literatürle büyük oranda örtüşmektedir. Türkiye'de ihraç ürünlerinde ithal ara malının kullanım oranlarının düşürülmesi ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensel bağın daha sağlıklı bir zemine oturtulmasına katkı sağlayacaktır.

 

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