MSCI ETF ENDEKSLERİNDE ZAYIF FORMDA PİYASA ETKİNLİĞİ: GELİŞMİŞ VE GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELER ÜZERİNE GELENEKSEL VE FOURIER BİRİM KÖK TESTİ
Yayınlanmış 10.12.2020
Anahtar Kelimeler
- MSCI, Borsa Yatırım Fonu, ETF, Fourier, Zayıf Formda Etkinlik
- MSCI, Exchange Traded Funds, ETF, Fourier, Weak Form Efficiency
Nasıl Atıf Yapılır
Bu çalışma Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License ile lisanslanmıştır.
Nasıl Atıf Yapılır
Öz
Bu çalışmada ABD’de Morgan Stanley Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Endeksinde yer alan gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin Borsa Yatırım Fonlarının (ETF) zayıf formda piyasa etkinliğinin varlığı sınanmıştır. Hem geleneksel hem de yapısal kırılma tarihi, sayısı ve formu açısından tahmin gücünü kaybetmeyen Fourier Birim Kök testi günlük verilere uygulanmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre bazı ülkeler için her iki birim kök testi de ortak bulgulara işaret etmektedir. Ancak Fourier birim kök testi sonuçlarının gelişmiş olan ülkelerin gelişmekte olan ülkelere göre daha etkin olabileceği varsayımını görece daha fazla destekler nitelikte olduğu tespit edilmiştir.
Referanslar
- Al-Jafari, M. K. (2011), Testing The Weak-Form Efficiency Of Bahrain Securities Market. International Research Journal Of Finance And Economics, 72, 14-25.
- Atan, S. D., Özdemir, Z. A., Atan, M. (2009), Weak Form Efficiency in the Stock Market: An Empirical Study on the ISE, Journal of Dokuz Eylül University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 24 (2), 33-48.
- Atan, S., D., Özdemir, Z. A., Atan, M. (2009), Weak Form Efficiency in the Stock Market: An Empirical Study on the ISE, Dokuz Eylül University, Journal of the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 24, 33-48.
- Aydemir, A. (2016), What is the MSCI Index? About MSCI Turkey EFT Index, Access address: https://www.gcmforex.com/egitim/makale-arsivi/msci-endeksi-nedir-msci-turkey-eft-endeksi-hakkinda
- Bilbrey, J.K, Riley, N.F., Sams, C.L. (2014), Short-term prediction of exchange traded funds (ETFs) using logistic regression generated client risk profiles, Journal of Finance and Accountancy
- Choudhry, T. (1994), Stochastic Trends And Stock Prices: An International Inquiry. Applied Financial Economics, 4: 383-390.
- Çelik, T. T., Taş, O. (2009), Efficient Market Hypothesis and Emerging Stock Markets. ITU Journal, B, 4 (2), 11-22.
- Çevik, E. I. (2012), Analysis of Efficient Market Hypothesis in Istanbul Stock Exchange with Long Memory Models: A Sectoral Analysis. Journal of Yaşar University, 7 (26), 4437-4454.
- Fama, E. (1965), Random Walks in Stock Market Prices, Financial Analysts Journal, 21 (5) Sept-Oct.
- Fama, E. (1970), Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Works. The Journal of Finance, 25(2):383-417.
- Hamid, K., Suleman, M.T., Shah, S.Z.A. ve Akash, R.S.I. (2010), Testing the Weak form of Efficient Market Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Asia-Pacific Markets, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 58: 121-133.
- Hepsağ, A., Akçalı, B. Y. (2015), Analysis of Weak Form Market Efficiency Using Asymmetric Nonlinear Unit Root Test: The Case of G-7 and E-7 Countries. BDDK Banking and Financial Markets, 9 (2), 73-90.
- Kaderli, Y., Doganer, M., & Baskaya, H. (2017). Investigation of the Short-Term Effect of New Business Relationship Announcements on Stock Returns of Firms Traded in Borsa Istanbul, Turan: Strategic Research Center, 9 (33), 429.
- Kahraman, D., Erkan, M. (2005), Random Walk Test in Istanbul Stock Exchange, Celal Bayar University, İ.İ.B.F., Journal of Management and Economics, 12 (1), 11 - 24.
- Karan, M. B., Kapusuzoğlu, A. (2010), An Analysis of the Random Walk and Overreaction Hypotheses Through Optimum Portfolios Constructed by the Nonlinear Programming Model, Australian Journal of Basic Application Sciences, 4 (6), 1215-1220.
- Levy, A. ve Lieberman, O. (2013), Overreaction of Country ETFs US Market Returns: Intraday vs. Daily Horizons and the Role of Synchronized Trading. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37, 1412-1421.
- Malkiel, B. G. (2003), The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59-82.
- Malkiel, B. G. (2007), A Random Walk Down Wall Street, W. Norton & Company: Completely Revised and Updated Edition.
- Narayan, P.K. (2008), Do Shocks to G7 Stock Prices Have a Permanent Effect? Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests with Structural Change. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 77(4): 369-373.
- Ongere, C. O. (2020), Testing Weak Form of Market Efficiency of Exchange Traded Funds at NSE Market, Mastter Thesis, University of Nairobi School Mathematics,
- Rompotis, G. G., Testing weak-form efficiency of exchange traded funds market, aestimatio, The IEB International Journal Of Finance, 2011. 2: 2-33
- Saji, T. G. (2015). Weak Form Efficiency of Gold ETF Markets: An Empirical Note from India, Journal of Economic Policy and Research, 10, 1.
- Saleem, K., Al-Hares, O. (2018), Measuring the Market Efficiency of Energy Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), Theoretical Economics Letters, 8, 1247-1256
- Savaşan, F., Yardımcıoğlu, F., Beşel, F. (2015), The Effect of Exogenous Shocks on Particiation on Index of Borsa Istanbul: Parmanent or Temporary?, International Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance Studies, 1 (1), 81-92.
- Taş, O., Dursunoğlu, S. (2004), Testing the Activity Level of the ISE with Random Walk Model by Using Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test Statistics and Runs Test, VII. National Finance Symposium 2004, ITU Faculty of Business, Symposium Proceedings Book, 258 - 269.
- Vaidyanathan, R., ve Gali, K. K. (1994), Efficiency of The Indian Capital Market, Indian Journal of Finance and Research, 5(2), 35-38.
- Watson, D. ve Head., A. (2010), Corporate Finance Principles and Practise, Financial Times Press.
- Yılancı, V. (2017), Examining the Relationship Between Oil Prices and Economic Growth, Fourier Approach. Istanbul University Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, 27, 51-67.
- Zeren, F., Kara, H., Arı, A. (2013), Market Efficiency Hypothesis: An Empirical Analysis for the ISE. Dumlupınar University, Journal of Social Sciences, 36, 141-147.