Abstract

First of all, this study aims to show how the power size and currency affect the return on investment percentages of unlicensed solar energy projects in Turkey. Commonly, the investors have confusions on their minds while taking investment decisions. Particularly, there are definite variables which may affect a solar energy project’s return on investment percentage and so the research question of how a multiple regression model can represent this percentage comes back to minds too. In order to simulate investment scenarios, this study is designed by using the sample of unlicensed solar energy installations which have the capacity of 250 KW, 500 KW and 1000 KW. According to the cash flow analyses for these samples the effects of power size and currency variables to return on investment percentages are observed. Therefore, the multiple regression model of return on investment percentages is offered by taking into account the power capacity and currency as independent variables to estimate the future cash flows by comparing each cases. As a result, the correlations are observed between dependent variable and independent variables. Especially, the power capacity has significant effect on return on investment rates of projects in accordance with the fundamental rule of risk-reward relation in finance. Also, the share of currency risk is calculated to prove how the volatility in currency index may affect the return on investment rates.